近日市場炒減息,所以大量資金流至債券市場。尤其是較高息的極長期IG bonds,現時很多價位已徘徊$105以上,非常誇張。
https://money.udn.com/money/amp/story/5613/7615952
10-11月確實是債市入場的最佳時期,由於當時不少短期債券均升穿face value,所以我與家人主要購入中長期的投資級別債券,看中這些產品價格多數有big discounts。只要評級高+財報佳,這些IG bonds往往連極長期產品也企穩$97/98以上,的確是高息環境下才有機會讓零售投資者入貨。
我一般不考慮保險公司,但例如十月份購入的”MMC Corp, 6.25%, 2052”,相信短期內也不大機會跌至$99附近可再加倉了。
不過隨著FED無意加息的消息傳出,市場也極速priced in,所以現時不少公司長期債的溢價已超越其短期債。相信在未來新一年想re-invest債券,也有一定的難度。唯自己現時倉位已算是bond-heavy + stock-light,若果下年轉低息環境的話,也想加倉三大指數ETFs與big tech stocks等。
早前兩三個月是較辛苦的日子,因夜晚看債券較夜入睡。美債市場雖然大,但個別bid price與sell price的spread相差甚遠,而且流量亦不多。股票的報價買賣,仍可靠箝入程式/multi-charts等軟件幫手,但債券的買賣,真的幾乎全憑肉眼留意。
假如FED今個月減息或維持息率的話,相信債市值得買入的產品不會多,反而購入價會更水漲船高;但假如FED今個月萬一加息的話,這樣便更好,因我可繼續用主動+被動收入作re-investment。
目前個人想更專注工作,因不少學生快踏入考試期了,而且碩士課程上也開始需多做presentation。學用Canva app的design功能,真的比寫文更麻煩!我仍在摸索中,希望大家也百尺竿頭、更進一步,明年迎接更好的自己:)
謝CHERRY近月分享, 我比較喜歡AAPL那些長期BOND, 前一兩個月5.8% 任買, 一旦市場轉看形勢即時打回昨天4.8X%, 時間之快幾乎跟不上
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謝謝Ed你的留言🙏😊蘋果的債券我家人早前也有入,由於他的資金是mortgage link轉過來的,所以前一兩個月操盤係同時睇埋佢同自己的倉位。又要做到公司板塊大量分散,花了不少時間。
刪除同意債市形勢近日急變,很難完全緊貼。不過炒減息便少了很多債券值得入了,可休養生息一下😌大家共勉之呢,也祝你投資順利成功☺️
回覆刪除Congratulations on completing the warehouse construction! It's a remarkable achievement, especially in today's financial landscape where interest rate speculations have heavily influenced market dynamics. The shift towards ultra-long-term IG bonds, with prices often exceeding $105, highlights an unusual trend. This environment underscores the significance of your project's completion in such volatile times.
Thanks for your kind comment ☺️ Frankly speaking, too much exposure to bonds will also pose re-investment risks. I look forward to adding more ETFs/big tech stocks shall the interest rate cuts happen earlier. This will help balance my portfolio.
刪除Though being a very passive investor, I post 1-2 articles per month. In Jan I will update news of my bond portfolio again. Stay tuned and all best wishes to you 😄👌
回覆刪除Congratulations on completing the warehouse construction! It's a remarkable achievement, especially in today's financial landscape where interest rate speculations have heavily influenced market dynamics. The shift towards ultra-long-term IG bonds, with prices often exceeding $105, highlights an unusual trend. This environment underscores the significance of your project's completion in such volatile times.
Happy New Year Cherry ~ 很充實的生活喔, 祝您2024年學業理財生活都繼續進步XD...btw, ChatGPT and Canva are are very useful for daily work and study ;)
回覆刪除謝謝Daniel的祝福🙏😊我讀書嗰度剛完咗一個學期,可以等春季再開始了!祝福大家工作理財健康皆如意,2024有更多開心發現🥳
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